Strikeforce Female 145-Pound Championship Gina Carano vs. Cristiane "Cyborg" Santos
I was very surprised to see that both ladies made the 145lb weight limit, a problem that both have struggled with in past fights (Cyborg came in 7 lbs over last time & Gina has missed weight in at least 5 of her 7 fights). Gina is the poster girl for women's MMA but unfortunately she's gonna get ripped up by Cyborg. The majority of people want to see Gina win simply because she's pretty to look at & she's super cute in interviews. Cyborg is ridiculously strong & she is a better fighter. Gina doesn't have what it takes to put away Cyborg.
I'm taking Cyborg by TKO in the 3rd round to become the first Strikeforce Women's 145lb Champion.
Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Championship
Without this fight I honestly would not be as interested in this fight card. Great job by Scott Coker & gang to pick up this Affliction fight to replace the Overeem/Werdum Heavyweight Championship match. This is a very tough fight to call. I believe Mousasi is destined for greatness. I like Babalu as well, but I can see Mousasi having the better stand up & if it goes to the ground Gegard has enough of a Jiu Jitsu game to defend against submissions.
I like Mousasi to use a variety of strikes & maybe some top position ground & pound for a TKO in the 3rd, & become the new Strikeforce Light-Heavyweight Champ. I really hope this is a good fight.
Josh Thompson remains injured so this is for the interim Lightweight belt. A lot of people are saying Ishida is going to out wrestle Melendez like he did when they first met on New Years 2007, in Japan. Gilbert has improved a lot since their first bout & I got a feeling he's gonna come out the victor this time around.
Melendez by Decision
Jay Hieron vs. Jesse Taylor
This was supposed to be Nick Diaz & Joe Riggs for the Strikeforce Welterweight belt. Riggs got injured so they brought in Jay Hieron. Diaz didn't get his fighter license renewed because he can't stop smoking pot. Strikeforce brought in Ultimate Fighter 7 alumni Jesse Taylor.
It is no longer for the title but is still a solid welter weight match up. Taylor has improved a lot in the short time since his highlight reel submission loss to CB Dollaway, in July 2008, & has put together a string of 7 wins in a row. I think this will be a competitive match but I think Hieron has the tools to diffuse what Taylor does best. It wouldn't surprise me too much if Taylor came out on with a 'W' but I'm thinking it's going to be Hieron by Decision.
Fabricio Werdum vs. Mike Kyle
This fight isn't on the main card but I hope we get to see it. Werdum should win this. He is more skilled in every department, has one of the best Jiu Jitsu games in the Heavyweight division, & from the looks of the weigh-in pictures he is in shape.
Kyle wasn't suppose to win his last fight against Rafael 'Feijao' Calvacante & Werdum wasn't suppose to lose his last fight against Junior 'Cigano' dos Antos. Werdum should win easy & set up a possible fight with Fedor.
Werdum by Submission, round 1.
I'm not going to pick any more of the undercard fights. I don't know most of the fighters & most likely we won't get to see the fights.